OK, so now we've nominated Barack Obama and Mitt Romney. Obviously, the best we can do is be half-right.

I've been predicting since before the Iowa caucus that the nominees will be Hillary Clinton and John McCain. I am sticking with that. I still see the Clinton "machine" as too entrenched, shrewd and well-oiled to be beaten.

That doesn't mean those are the candidates (current or former) I personally prefer, by the way.

I must say that the gap between turnout for the Democratic caucus and for the Republican caucuses was surprisingly dramatic. It is a nationwide phenomenon but the Maine gap was particularly large.